BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Greenfield Nodaway Valley

Class: 1A Class Rank: 41 Conference: Pride of Iowa Record: (27-11-0) Overall: (53-44-0) Overall Strength =   50.03

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    L *    38.08  14  18    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -11.99      7.99                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    W      57.02   7   6   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                6.95     -5.95                      
 3 09/14/2001 Home    W      61.89  36   7   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             11.81     17.19                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    L      50.82  14  33   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                0.75    -19.75                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    L      46.82   0  21   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -3.26    -17.74                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    L      47.41  21  41   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               -2.66    -17.34                      
 7 10/12/2001 Home    L      34.80  13  44   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe   -15.28    -15.72                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    L * *  24.56  13  45   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -25.51     -6.49                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    L      49.48   7  14   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       -0.59     -6.41                      
10 09/06/2002 Home    W *    40.02  14  13    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -10.05     11.05                      
11 09/13/2002 Away    W      80.08  27   6   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               30.00     -9.00                      
12 09/20/2002 Home    W      77.49  31   0   1A 44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  27.42      3.58                      
13 09/27/2002 Away    W      64.19  25   6   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon                14.11      4.89                      
14 10/04/2002 Away    L      35.82   6  38   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -14.26    -17.74                      
15 10/11/2002 Home    W   *  54.96  31   7   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     4.89     19.11                      
16 10/18/2002 Home    W      71.39  42  20   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        21.32      0.68                      
17 10/25/2002 Away    W      46.94  28  17   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -3.13     14.13                      
18 11/01/2002 Away    W * *  57.56  42  41   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr               7.49     -6.49                      
19 11/06/2002 Away    L      41.82  14  40   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -8.26    -17.74                      
20 08/29/2003 Away    L *    42.87  35  49   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -7.20     -6.80                      
21 09/05/2003 Away    W *    69.08  33   6    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                19.01      7.99                      
22 09/12/2003 Home    W      80.02  41  17   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               29.95     -5.95                      
23 09/19/2003 Away    W      71.55  28   6   1A 44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  21.47      0.53                      
24 09/26/2003 Home    W      69.13  34   7   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon                19.06      7.94                      
25 10/03/2003 Home    L      15.76   7  56   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -34.31    -14.69                      
26 10/10/2003 Away    W   *  73.02  58  19   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    22.94     16.06                      
27 10/17/2003 Away    L      38.45  35  49   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley       -11.63     -2.37                      
28 10/24/2003 Home    W      55.89  48  25   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              5.81     17.19                      
29 10/31/2003 Home    W * *  69.50  28  12   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              19.43     -3.43                      
30 08/27/2004 Away    W * *  63.56  14   7   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              13.49     -6.49                      
31 09/03/2004 Home    W *    50.02  14   3    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                -0.05     11.05                      
32 09/10/2004 Away    W     101.08  55  13   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               51.00     -9.00                      
33 09/17/2004 Home    W      73.00  42  12   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO          22.93      7.07                      
34 09/24/2004 Away    W      38.94  31  28   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah            -11.13     14.13                      
35 10/01/2004 Away    L      52.54   7  24   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper         2.46    -19.46                      
36 10/08/2004 Home    L      26.76   0  38   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -23.31    -14.69                      
37 10/15/2004 Home    L      25.46   7  26   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak               -24.61      5.61                      
38 10/22/2004 Away    W   *  42.02  21  13   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -8.06     16.06                      
39 10/29/2004 Away    W      65.45  20   7   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        15.37     -2.37                      
40 08/26/2005 Home    L * *  45.50  12  20   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              -4.57     -3.43                      
41 09/02/2005 Away    W *    69.08  41  14    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                19.01      7.99                      
42 09/09/2005 Home    L      48.02  33  41   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               -2.05     -5.95                      
43 09/16/2005 Away    L      45.06  21  22   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO          -5.01      4.01                      
44 09/23/2005 Home    W      40.89  21  13   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -9.19     17.19                      
45 09/30/2005 Home    L      24.48  12  54   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -25.59    -16.41                      
46 10/07/2005 Away    L      13.82   6  60   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -36.26    -17.74                      
47 10/14/2005 Away    L      12.52  14  49   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak               -37.56      2.56                      
48 10/21/2005 Home    W   *  48.96  34  16   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -1.11     19.11                      
49 10/28/2005 Home    W      55.39  39  33   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley         5.32      0.68                      
50 09/01/2006 Away    L      26.08  14  47   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -24.00     -9.00                      
51 09/08/2006 Home    L *    32.02   7  14 1  A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -18.05     11.05                      
52 09/15/2006 Home    L      44.80  13  28   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     -5.28     -9.72                      
53 09/22/2006 Away    W * *  46.66  13   8   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -3.41      8.41                      
54 09/29/2006 Away    W      70.60  30  17   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        20.52     -7.52                      
55 10/06/2006 Home    W * *  42.26  35   6   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -7.82     36.82                      
56 10/13/2006 Home    W *    72.82  25   6   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    22.74     -3.74                      
57 10/20/2006 Away    W * *  74.08  34   7   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          24.01      2.99                      
58 10/27/2006 Home    L * *  47.50  17  23   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              -2.57     -3.43                      
59 08/31/2007 Home    L      28.02   6  34   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -22.05     -5.95                      
60 09/07/2007 Away    W *    49.08  21  14    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                -0.99      7.99                      
61 09/15/2007 Away    L      41.85  13  34   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     -8.22    -12.78  was 09/14 now 09/15 
62 09/21/2007 Home    W * *  54.61  44  28   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur    4.53     11.47                      
63 09/28/2007 Home    L      47.54  20  27   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        -2.53     -4.47                      
64 10/05/2007 Away    W * *  30.31  28  14   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne         -19.76     33.76                      
65 10/12/2007 Away    W *    57.87  42  41 1 2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     7.80     -6.80                      
66 10/19/2007 Home    L * *  23.03   0  21   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -27.05      6.05                      
67 10/26/2007 Away    L * *  47.56  19  28   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              -2.51     -6.49                      
68 08/29/2008 Away    L      16.08   6  49   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -34.00     -9.00  non-district        
69 09/05/2008 Home    L      38.46   0   6   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak               -11.61      5.61  non-district        
70 09/12/2008 Away    L * *  41.08   7  13   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -8.99      2.99                      
71 09/19/2008 Home    W * *  62.26  49   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          12.18     36.82                      
72 09/26/2008 Away    L * *  55.56  20  21   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr               5.49     -6.49                      
73 10/03/2008 Away    L      43.60  14  28   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        -6.48     -7.52                      
74 10/10/2008 Home    W * *  73.61  41   6   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   23.53     11.47                      
75 10/17/2008 Home    W   *  50.78  53  27   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian    0.71     25.29                      
76 10/24/2008 Away    W *    76.87  28   8   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    26.80     -6.80                      
77 10/29/2008 Away    L      44.22  14  33   1A 23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley         -5.86    -13.14                      
78 08/28/2009 Home    L      52.02  29  33   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                1.95     -5.95  nd                  
79 09/04/2009 Away    W      65.52  31  13   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                15.44      2.56  nd                  
80 09/11/2009 Home    W * *  66.03  35  13   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          15.95      6.05                      
81 09/18/2009 Away    W * *  45.31  29   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -4.76     33.76                      
82 09/25/2009 Home    L * *  45.50  27  35   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              -4.57     -3.43                      
83 10/02/2009 Home    L      26.54   7  35   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian       -23.53     -4.47                      
84 10/09/2009 Away    W * *  62.66  27   6   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   12.59      8.41                      
85 10/16/2009 Away    L   *  21.84  15  21   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -28.24     22.24                      
86 10/23/2009 Home    W *    80.82  27   0   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    30.74     -3.74                      
87 10/28/2009 Away    L      29.22   7  41   1A 23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -20.86    -13.14                      
88 08/27/2010 Home    W      69.57   9   6    A  5 ( 74- 27-  0) Avoca AHST             19.49    -16.49  ND                  
89 09/03/2010 Away    W *    59.08  27  10    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                 9.01      7.99  ND                  
90 09/10/2010 Home    W   *  40.96  17   7   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -9.11     19.11                      
91 09/17/2010 Away    W * *  59.56  38  35   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr               9.49     -6.49                      
92 09/24/2010 Home    L   *  40.81  14  21 1 1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        -9.26      2.26                      
93 10/01/2010 Away    W * *  64.08  37  20   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          14.01      2.99                      
94 10/08/2010 Home    L   *  10.78   0  14   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -39.29     25.29                      
95 10/15/2010 Home    W * *  64.61  40  14   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   14.53     11.47                      
96 10/22/2010 Away    W * *  65.31  49   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          15.24     33.76                      
97 10/27/2010 Away    L      34.87  14  49   1A 16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -15.20    -19.80                      
      Averages              50.03  23.4 21.8

Best game:  101.08 = 42 point win over Griswold
Worst game:  10.78 = 14 point loss to Des Moines Christian
Team stdev:  17.95